Denver Nuggets @ New York Knicks
Jameer Nelson- DK:$4400 FD:$4400
Jamal Murray- DK:$3800 FD:$4000
For the third straight game, the Nuggets will be without Point Guard Emmanuel Mudiay as they are set to face off against old friend Carmelo Anthony and the very strange New York Knicks. With no Emmanuel Mudiay tonight the Nuggets will once again turn to a mixture of Jameer Nelson and Jamal Murray. Both of these guards are low in price which should intrigue DFS players when making lineups. The Knicks are a middle of the pack team defensively against Point Guards allowing about 43 points per game on Fanduel. While on DraftKings they allow around 53 which is also middle of the pack defensively. Despite Jameer logging heavy minutes as the primary starter for the Nuggets, he has seen a dip in scoring as he has failed to reach 10+ points in his last two games. Perhaps tonight’s the night he turns it back around and gets the increase in scoring we want out of him. A plus for Jameer, he had eight assists last game, if he can carry over those good assist numbers and provide a little more scoring, he should have no problem hitting value tonight. For Jamal Murray, his minutes are stuck in the mid 20’s but that doesn’t seem to be slowing down as he has exceeded 20 DFS points in 6 out of his last 7 games. Both Point Guards look like great sleeper and low priced plays tonight.
Gary Harris-DK$5000: FD:$5100
Will Barton- DK:$6100 FD:$5800
It looks like Harris and Barton have figured out how to succeed when both are healthy. The last 2 games Barton had gone for 40+ DFS points including last game where he flirted with a triple-double. He finished the game with 17 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists, 2 blocks, and 3 steals. A great all around game from Will Barton who has always been known for stuffing the stat sheet. He looks to carry that momentum into tonight as he faces a bottom 10 team in the league vs Shooting guards, allowing 37 points a night to opposing Shooting Guards on Fanduel. On DraftKings they allow 42.9 which is also bottom 10 in the league. Barton will be sliding into the starting lineup tonight, as Kenneth Faried will not play. This seems like a great time to hop on the Barton train before he goes above 6k. While Gary Harris hasn’t been going off like Barton has, he continually puts up solid numbers in his own right. He has gone above 20 DFS points in 6 out of his last 7 games, including a couple 30+ point games. Both guards are seeing major minutes and should provide good value tonight.
Wilson Chandler– DK:$7100 FD:$6700
With Danilo Gallinari being out, Wilson Chandler has seized the opportunity and played very well. Since January 31st, when Wilson Chandler has seen minutes in the mid to high 30’s, possibly even 40’s, he has scored above 35 DFS points every single game. While he will need another one of those nights to reach value, his matchup tonight might propel him to it. The Knicks are another average team at defending Small Forwards as they give up 36.6 points per game on Fanduel, and on DraftKings they allow 42.1 per game. While the last time the Nuggets met up with the Knicks, Chandler didn’t have a great game, he will come out tonight and look to correct that. While his price may be a little high, he may be asked to score a lot tonight making him a high-risk high reward type of play tonight.
Nikola Jokić– DK-$9200 FD:-$9900
Man o’ man, Jokic is in such a tough spot DFS wise. For the big Serbian to hit value for DFS players he needs to reach either 46 points(DK) or 49.5 points(FD) to even hit value. To put that in perspective, last game Jokic had 18 points, 15 rebounds, and 3 assists. As great as a game as that was, it still was not enough for him to hit value! Tonight vs the Knicks, with a $9,000+ price tag hanging over his head, he will look to put up insane numbers. In the 20 minutes he played vs the Knicks back on December 17th he scored 10 points, grabbed 9 rebounds, and dished out 5 assists. The one thing that slowed him down that night, fouls. Foul trouble is starting to haunt Jokic once again as in his last two games he has racked up 4 and 5 fouls each game. If he can stay out of foul trouble he does have the matchup that could lead to a great game. The Knicks are bottom 6 in the league against C’s so Jokic could feast. However, with his price tag and the fact it is so hard for big men to score in the 50’s, it may be another night I pass on Jokic.