Denver Nuggets @ Chicago Bulls
Jameer Nelson– DK:$5400 FD:$5600
Jamal Murray– DK:$3800 FD:$3500
Jameer Nelson just keeps on stringing together nice performances. After accumulating 6 straight games at 30 DFS points or more he has tailed off a little but is still reaching right around value for us. Against the Grizzlies, one of the best defensive teams in the NBA all around, Jameer was held to 12 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, a steal, and a block. Overall it was not a terrible game but with his 32 minutes we would like to see more. It was very nice to see his minutes back in the thirties as the blowout vs the Nets caused it to go down to a low 22. I don’t see a blowout happening tonight however so expect to see Jameer on the court a lot meaning he should be a good, cheap play. The Bulls are a bottom half team vs point guards on both Fanduel and DraftKings, allowing 44 and 55 points per game. Jameer will have plenty of opportunities to deliver us DFS owners value and then some. As for Jamal Murray, although he is the primary backup he has not been seeing a ton of minutes. In the three games back from the all star break he has seen 19, 26, and most recently just 16 minutes of floor time. This has caused his price to fall close to or at minimum. While he is not the worst play if you’re looking for a punt at point guard, be cautious because the minutes may not be there.
Gary Harris-DK$5900: FD:$5500
Will Barton– DK:$5800 FD:$5900
My oh My Gary Harris what has gotten into you, sir? In Harris’ last 4 games, dating back to pre all-star break, he has had 4 straight games in the 30 DFS point club. Harris has suddenly become a real offensive weapon for the Nuggets as his shooting from beyond the arc has been absolutely absurd. He has been able to knock down at least 3 threes in each of his last 7 games and looks to continue that hot shooting against one of the better defensive teams in the league vs shooting guards. This time out vs the Bulls Gary Harris gets to go up against the team that originally drafted him, the Chicago Bulls. On Fanduel the Bulls, who have D-Wade anchor down SG, allow around 34 points per game and on DraftKings allow around 51. Harris’ price is still so low, for a guy who can put up DFS points in all different ways, and also for a guy who has been playing so well. Hop aboard the Gary Harris train before it’s too late. Will Barton is coming off a game to forget vs the Grizzlies as he scored just 6 points, grabbed 2 rebounds, and dished out 3 assists. There were not many positives to take from last outing however, he still showed a little glimpse of his stat-stuffing ways. His minutes dropped to just 25 and he only took 5 shots in those limited minutes. I do not expect both of those things to happen this time out and I think this could be a nice little bounce back game for the guard out of the University of Memphis.
Wilson Chandler-DK:$6600 FD:$6600
Danilo Gallinari–DK:$5200 FD:$6700
Out of the break Gallo looks like his groin injury is well behind him as he has come out and killed it for the Nuggets. For the third straight game out of the break his scoring has increased, this time up to 24 points. He also grabbed 4 rebounds and swiped himself 2 steals. While his matchup tonight vs Jimmy Butler may scare many off him, don’t be fooled as Jimmy Butler and the Bulls allow the 8th and 9th most points to small forwards a night. On Fanduel the per game average is 38.2 points while on DraftKings it is 43.9 points. “The Rooster” aka Gallo has been playing so well out of the break that the Nuggets may look for him more down the stretch in what should be a competitive game, meaning his usage rates will increase. All of this added up is a recipe for success for Gallo tonight in Chicago. Wilson Chandler started at power forward last game out for the injured Kenneth Faried and with Faried out again tonight, there is a very real chance Chandler is asked to slide down to the 4 again. That did not seem to slow him down one bit as last game out he had himself a great all around game. Chandler scored 14 points, snatched 9 rebounds, and handed out 6 assists. The assists were a huge surprise and a surprise DFS owners will gladly take. Coming into that game Chandler had not handed out more than 5 assists since January 26th vs the Suns. If he can even give us anywhere near that number on a nightly basis, his value and appeal will go up by a wide margin. The Bulls are usually one of the better positions vs power forwards but since trading Taj Gibson and inserting Bobby Portis into the starting 5, opposing power forwards have had some nice games. Chandler has the ability to space the floor at power forward and has the speed and strength to either blow by or take them on, and he should be able to exploit that and have a good game.
Nikola Jokić– DK-$8900 FD:-$9500
Mason Plumlee– DK-$5300 FD-$5600
Jokic has come out of the gate a little slow to start off the second half of the season, however, he looks to leave that all in the past as his next chance to bounce back comes vs the Bulls. The only problem with his matchup tonight vs Robin Lopez is the bulls are a top 10 team vs centers. Jokic has proven that he can handle and dominate some of the league’s best centers there are to offer but tonight, in the middle of a slump, may make it as hard as ever for Jokic to dominate. His price has seen a pretty big drop as he only has scored 16 combined points over his last 3 games. The only positives we can take are the fact that his assist are going back up as he has had 7 and 6 in his last two games. The other is that he continues to rebound at a great pace. The only part of his game lacking is his scoring, which will not be this bad forever. I would still wait out his slump and see when he bursts out of it and continues the league-wide domination we had seen during the second part of the first half of the season. The only person who has benefited from this whole Jokic slump is Mason Plumlee. Last game out he was tasked with going heads up with Marc Gasol so don’t read too much into his bad night, the game before is a good indicator of what the Nuggets could get out of Plumlee. In only 23 minutes Plumlee was able to score 12 points, snag 12 rebounds, and have 8 assists. While asking for that all around production night in and night out off the bench is ridiculous, the stat stuffing style of play that he brings to the table makes him a very interesting DFS play. His price is still low and his minutes are good enough that on this 6 game slate it could propel him into one of the better and sneaker value plays.