Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks
Jameer Nelson(GTD)- DK:$5400 FD:$5600
Jamal Murray– DK:$3800 FD:$3500
Emmanuel Mudiay– DK:$3900 FD:$4600
Jameer Nelson’s last game out vs the Bulls was one that left us wanting more as he only was able to scored 12 points while adding only 1 assist. Tonight, on the second leg of a back to back vs the Bucks, Jameer is a game-time decision with an illness. If he is not able to play that means we will see Emmanuel Mudiay for the first time post all star break play any kind of meaningful minutes. If that is the case and he starts, or even is the first guard off the bench, at a very low price, he is one who may be a good punt play on this large slate. If Jameer Nelson is able to play it is unknown if he will be able to handle his normal workload at point guard. Usually Nelson is able to play around low 30’s in minutes but with fatigue and illness possibly holding him down, he may play less. No matter who is seeing the majority of the minutes they will have their work cut out for them as the Bucks are one of the best defensive teams vs point guards on both Fanduel and DraftKings. On Fanduel the Bucks allow just 40.5 points per game while on DraftKings they allow 51 points per game. Jamal Murray’s role will most likely stay the same no matter who is playing as he will serve as the backup point guard either way. He is coming off a game in which he scored around 20 DFS points and with his price so close to minimum, that’s a great thing to see. His ability to light it up from downtown makes him once again, along with Mudiay if Jameer does not play, an interesting punt play at point guard.
Gary Harris-DK$5900: FD:$5500
Will Barton– DK:$5600 FD:$5900
A couple weeks ago it was uncommon for both Harris and Barton to coexist and play well together when both were healthy. But over the course of this last couple weeks, both guys have found a way to not only survive but to thrive while being on the same team. Last night, in classic Will Barton style, he was able to score points and to rebound the ball at an exceptional rate for a guard. He finished the game with 15 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, and 2 steals. All of that added up means he was able to reach that 30 club for DFS points, something that nobody will ever complain about. He did this all while playing 29 minutes, which was an increase from the 25 he played vs Memphis. Barton is looking to keep his recent string of success going and with Jameer Nelson listed as a game-time decision, Denver may be looking Bartons way to be involved even more in the offense. On the other hand Gary Harris did not let his cold shooting from downtown stop him from having another nice night. Against the team that originally drafted him, he went only 1-5 from 3 point but was 6-7 from everywhere else on the court. By doing that he was able to put up a stat line that read, 15 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals in 36 minutes. Nothing on his stat line truly stands out however it’s the all-around style of play that makes Gary Harris so appealing. The ability to grab steals is something that Harris also brings to the table that not many can. In 18 out of his last 19 games he has recorded at least 1 steal with many games having him snatch 2 or more. Those little extra points that Harris provides go a long way in making him so appealing to DFSers. The Bucks are a middle of the pack team vs shooting guards so Harris and Barton should be able to have yet another good performance.
Wilson Chandler-DK:$6700 FD:$6600
Danilo Gallinari–DK:$6200 FD:$6700
Unlike Gary Harris and Will Barton, both Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari always seem to play well together. Last night was no exception as Gallo and Chandler both eclipsed the 20 point mark. Chandler ended up going for 20 points and 3 rebounds, which made him come short of the value we wanted, but not by much. The rebounds and assist totals were lower than what owners wanted as well but the scoring was where it should be. After flirting with 2 double-doubles in his last 3 games prior to last night, many expected Chandler to continue his rebounding ways. But people forget that when he slides down to the 4 for the Nuggets when Kenneth Faried is out, as he is tonight, it becomes harder for him to grab rebounds. His price tonight is a little high but the Bucks, again a middle of the pack team in the league vs power forwards, present an interesting chance for Chandler to give us value. Chandler should be able to keep the scoring high while possibly giving us more in the rebound/assist category. As for “The Rooster”, Gallinari is coming off yet another good scoring night as he scored 22 points and also grabbed 3 rebounds. While he has never been a big rebound guy in his career he should be able to give us more than 3 tonight. The Bucks are one of the worst teams in the NBA vs small forwards as they allow 40 points, Fanduel, and 46 points, DraftKings, per game. Those totals drag them down to second worst per game in the NBA. This means Gallo should have plenty of chances, as he always does, to give us good value. For a player of Gallinari’s capability his price is still a little low as he can get hot at a moments notice and give us great play/value.
Nikola Jokić– DK-$8800 FD:-$9800
Mason Plumlee– DK-$5200 FD-$5600
Now that is one way to break out of a mini-slump! Jokic came out last night vs the Bulls looking like a new man, maybe it was the excitement of playing in the United Center or maybe it was all the Serbian support he got, whatever it was man did it work. Jokic posted an amazing stat line of 19 points, 16 rebounds, and 10 assists. That was his third triple-double of his career and third of the month and added to his already very large list of games in the 50+ DFS point club. Jokic was able to stay out of foul trouble all night, picking up his first foul well after halftime and it really payed off. Tonight is a new game for Jokic meaning a new task as well. The next opponent(Victim?) for Jokic is Greg Monroe who is not the greatest defender nor is he the greatest rebounder. On Fanduel the Bucks are a bottom 10 team in the league vs centers as they allow 47.4 points per game and on DraftKings allow 50.5, also bottom 10. Jokic, if he can stay out of his own head and out of foul trouble, should be able to post another great stat line, even on the second half of a back to back. Also, Denver Nuggets fans have to be happy with what they are seeing out of Mason Plumlee. After flirting with a triple double not to long ago, Plumlee came out last night and had 6 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists. While that may not translate to the best DFS night or the most eye-popping stats, he was extremely important in keeping the offense flowing while Jokic was on the bench. His assists have been high ever since he joined the Nuggets which adds another DFS element to his game. His minutes are still in the low 20’s and with his price still being mid $5,000’s, in order for him to produce value he will have to be better than a point a minute type of guy and I’m not sure he can do that just yet. You probably can find better options at center on this big slate but if worst comes to worst, Mason Plumlee is not a terrible option.