Sacramento Kings @ Denver Nuggets
Jameer Nelson– DK:$5400 FD:$5400
Jamal Murray– DK:$4200 FD:$3700
Jameer Nelson returned from his one game absence on saturday night vs the Hornets. Jameer came out and scored 8 points, grabbed 2 rebounds, and dished out 5 assist, in 29 minutes of play. This was not a great game for Jameer Nelson who now has back-to-back performances in which he’s failed to reach value. Jameer however is in no danger of losing any minutes and should still see his usual minutes which are right around 30 a night. The Kings are one of the better teams vs point guards as they allow 41.7 points per game on FanDuel while giving up 52.3 points per game on DraftKings. Uncharacteristically, Jameer’s scoring has been down these last few games, as in his last 5 games he has failed to reach 15 points in all of the. Last time out vs the Kings on February 23rd, Jameer had 12 points, 4 rebounds, 6 assists, and an amazing 5 steals. That meant he has a great night for us DFS owners and will be looking to do that again. After two subpar performances, Jameer will be attempting to right his wrongs and get back to playing good basketball. In these last few games that Jameer hasn’t played well in, the rookie sensation Jamal Murray has picked up some slack. In his new role of backup point guard, he has had three straight games hitting value and has scored double digit points in all three. The Kings were able to keep him scoreless in their last meeting, but this more confident Jamal Murray will be playing more minutes and looks like a great punt play at point guard tonight, especially on this huge 12 game slate.
Gary Harris-DK$5200: FD:$5400
Will Barton– DK:$5100 FD:$5800
Last game did not treat both Will Barton and Gary Harris very kindly at all. Both guys failed to reach value for us with Will Barton posting the best game. Vs the Hornets, Will Barton had a stat line that read: 9 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists, which translated to around 20 DFS points. While he still, like he usually does, gave us good rebounding and assist numbers, Barton shot only 3-11 from the field and 1-4 from three. Those numbers must improve for him to continue to give us good value at shooting guard. The only positive from that game was that he kept his price low for us tonight. He was able to turn in a nice 16 point performance last time out vs the Kings so look for him to try and find similar success tonight. As for Gary Harris he was shutout in saturday’s home loss, something that shouldn’t happen very often. Harris only shot the ball once in the loss but that shouldn’t scare anyone off him as he still remains a key part in not only Denver’s rotation but also their offense. Like Barton, last time out vs the Kings he was able to find success as he scored 23 points in the then Nuggets loss. Both Harris and Barton have some bouncing back to do, and look for that to happen tonight in the Pepsi Center.
Wilson Chandler-DK:$6000 FD:$6300
Danilo Gallinari–DK:$6100 FD:$6600
Danilo Gallinari is about as consistent as they come when it comes to scorers in the NBA. Every single night he goes out there you know he is gonna turn in a good performance. In his last 5 games, he has scored over 20 points, and his last three games have all been 22 point games. He’s always gonna give you rebound numbers around 5 which is always great with someone who can score as easily as he can. Gallo has made a living this year hovering around the 30 points DFS mark, and he needs to be around there to hit value with his price. The Kings are a middle of the pack team against small forwards defense wise, but were the only team since Gallo returned from his injury to hold him under 20 points. That night vs the Kings, Gallo had 15 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists and once again hovered around that 30 point DFS mark. As for Wilson Chandler however, he had a game to forget on saturday night. Chandler only played 22 minutes and scored just 6 points, grabbed 4 rebounds, and had 3 assists. For only playing 22 minutes his rebounding and assist numbers were pretty good but his scoring never really caught up. The games where Chandler is able to put it all together, similar to what we saw at the beginning of the season, he can be a very hard player to stop. His scoring has been down as he has failed to reach 15 points in 3 out of his last 4 games but he will look to replicate the performance he had last time out vs the Kings where he scored 18 points and grabbed 10 rebounds. If he can give us something close to that, maybe sprinkle in something extra like assists or blocks, he could be a great mid-tier type play tonight.
Nikola Jokić(QUESTIONABLE)– DK-$10,100 FD:-$9800
Mason Plumlee– DK-$4300 FD-$5300
Kenneth Faried remains out tonight vs the Kings with a bad case of back spasms. To tack on even more bad news, Nikola Jokic is considered questionable with an illness. If Jokic is able to play tonight he will have his hands full all night, as he did last time vs the Kings. As I’m sure everyone remembers, Willie Cauley-Stein just took to to Jokic all night long last time these two teams squared off. Not only did this get Jokic in some foul trouble, but it also frustrated him to the point where his offense game took a big hit. In that game Jokic only scored 4 points to go along with 11 rebounds but the scoring must go up, by a lot, for us to get value out of him. The good news is that Nikola Jokic is absolutely killing it right now as he is in the midst of one of the better three-game stretches in his entire career. Following his back to back triple-doubles, Jokic came out vs the Hornets and put up a cool 31 points, snatched his way to 14 rebounds, and had 4 assists. The assists were lower than they had been since the Kings game back on February 23rd, but that didn’t mean anything with his offensive numbers he threw up. His price is once again back up near or at 10k so he will have to replicate his DFS point total from last night to reach value. While he has the ability to once again go off and get us that 50 points DFS night we need, that may be asking a lot of Jokic vs a much more athletic defender in WCS. As for Mason Plumlee, he will become one of the better sleepers on the slate if Jokic is out, because he would most likely slide into the starting 5. This would mean more minutes and a bigger role in the offense for Plumlee. That is the only way I see playing Plumlee as a smart move. Plumlee just does not see enough minutes to make a big splash in DFS, but is providing great real basketball for the Nuggets in that limited role.